Florida Home Watch Association

Hurricane Humberto - Major Hurricane Status

Hurricane Humberto has intensified into a major hurricane and is accelerating its forward movement through the Atlantic. While remaining well offshore, Bermuda faces the most significant threat, with Humberto projected to pass just west of the island on Monday.

Bermuda Alert: Residents should complete final storm preparations today, as deteriorating weather conditions are expected to begin this evening.

Tropical System 94-L - Future Imelda

The tropical disturbance expected to become Tropical Storm Imelda later today or early tomorrow morning maintains a forecast track similar to yesterday's projections, with one notable change—the system is slowing down. This deceleration is allowing Hurricane Humberto to become a much more significant steering influence, particularly early next week.

Current Position & Forecast Track:

• Currently positioned just off northeastern Cuba, moving due north
• Expected to be approximately 100 miles east of Miami by late tomorrow afternoon at tropical storm strength
• Forecast to parallel Florida's eastern coast throughout Sunday and Monday
• Anticipated to reach hurricane status somewhere between Miami and Jacksonville
• Projected to remain offshore near Jacksonville by late Monday afternoon, continuing toward the Carolinas
• Some storm models have Imelda sitting of the eastern coast of the U.S. with little movement which will bring heavy rains to the coastline and possibly as far west Knoxville.
• Projected rainfall is forecast to be up to 6"-8" if the storm stalls off the coast of the Carolinas

Potential Track Changes

Humberto's rapid strengthening over the past 24 hours and increased forward speed as it approaches Bermuda may significantly alter Imelda's path. As Humberto curves eastward after passing Bermuda, it's expected to pull Imelda along a similar eastward trajectory.

Possible Scenarios:

• Most Likely: Both storms curve out to sea, avoiding U.S. landfall entirely
• Alternative: Imelda breaks free from Humberto's influence and tracks northeastward along the U.S. coast, potentially impacting areas as far north as Cape Cod

Critical Preparedness Information

Do Not Stop Preparations: Forecast changes occur hourly, and residents in the projected path should continue storm preparations regardless of potential track changes.

Even without direct landfall, significant impacts are possible:

Offshore Impact Risks

• Heavy rainfall - forecast amounts of 6"-8" in some areas
• Coastal storm surge - minor flooding expected in low-lying coastal areas
• Dangerous wind gusts

A Category 1 hurricane passing 75-125 miles offshore of Daytona Beach could still produce:

Example Impact

• Wind gusts of 60-70 mph
• Sustained winds of 25-35 mph

Preparation Timeline

All Eastern Seaboard residents should begin preliminary preparations at least 48 hours before expected impacts, even if no direct landfall is forecast.

Monitoring Status

These systems require continued close monitoring until they either dissipate or move safely into the North Atlantic. Track forecasts will be updated as conditions evolve.